European Geosciences Union General Assembly 2013, Vienna, 7-12 April 2013
Leonard Smith presented a short course on 'Predictability in Theory and Predictability in Practice.'
Ewelina Sienkiewicz presented a poster by Alex Jarman and Leonard Smith entitled 'Forecasting the Probability of Tropical Cyclone Formation: the reliability of NHC forecasts from the 2012 hurricane season.'
Nick Watkins presented 'The scaling of wild events in stochastic models: The Fisher limit, the Mandelbrot limit, and FARIMA as a model of the intermediate cases.'
Nick Watkins presented 'Bayesian Analysis of Non-Gaussian Long-Range Dependent Processes.'
Nick Watkins presented 'Compound Extremes and Bunched Black (or Grouped Grey) Swans.'
Nick Watkins presented 'A spatio-temporal analysis of US station temperature trends over the last century.'
Nick Watkins and David Stainforth co-authored two presentations given by Sandra Chapman: 'Mapping the changing pattern of local climate as an observed distribution' and 'An observationally centred method to quantify local climate change as a distribution'.