This week's Gearty Grilling: Pauline Barrieu on Statistics and modelling - 4 June 2015. Professor Barrieu discussed her approach to modelling and how the use of models is changing in the financial markets.
'Improving weather forecasts to avert disruptions, damage and disaster', Professor Leonard Smith's Impact case study is discussed in the 'Knowing causes, effecting change' article by Jess Winterstein in LSE Connect, Vol. 27, number 1, summer 2015.
Professor Leonard Smith and Dr Erica Thompson contributed to the making of the BBC Four Climate Change By Numbers programme, broadcast on 2 March 2015, that aimed to clarify all the important questions around climate change by honing in on just three key numbers. The team behind the programme won the gold AAAS Kavli Science Journalism Award 2015 in the category of 'In-Depth Reporting'. The judges said that the team 'used clever analogies and appealing graphics to discuss three key numbers that help clarify important questions about the scale and pace of human influence on climate.
Professor Leonard Smith quoted in Amstat News article about the ASA Climate Science Day, 10-11 February 2015, Capitol Hill, Washington DC.
Dr Erica Thompson was the lead climate scientist for the Global Calculator project, an online tool that helps businesses, governments and individuals explore low carbon worlds. It draws on the latest scientific results from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to highlight the range of possible impacts resulting from different energy choices. Read DECC press release 28 January 2015.
Professor Leonard Smith quoted in Science article 'A touch of the random' by Colin Macilwain, 13 June 2014, Vol. 344, Issue 6189, which discusses deterministic versus stochastic techniques for climate modelling.
Dr Ofer Engel and Professor Peter Abell's visit to Gothenburg in January 2014 as part of the CELSIUS project generated some local media attention: The CELSIUS Insider and Vårt Göteborg.
Global warming is being caused by humans, not the sun, and is highly sensitive to carbon, new research shows. Guardian article that discusses (among others) the paper by Imbers, Lopez, Huntingford and Allen 'Sensitivity of climate change detection and attribution to the characterization of internal climate variability', Journal of Climate.
'Mapping climate change in European temperature distributions' by David Stainforth, Sandra Chapman and Nick Watkins received coverage in the following German media:
Der Spiegel; Süddeustche Zeitung; Wirtschaftswoche; Klimaretter; Zeit; Focus; Schweitzerbauer; Südkurier, and also in Space Daily; Motherboard and Világvége.
'Summers are getting hotter honest' Dr David Stainforth quoted in an article in The Telegraph, 11 September 2013.
'Another Sign of the growing North-South divide, but this time it's climate change' Dr David Stainforth quoted in an article in The Independent, 11 September 2013.
Making Sense of Uncertainty. Dr David Stainforth and Professor Leonard Smith contributed to a report by Sense About Science which challenges the idea that uncertainty in research is a reason for people to worry about the reliability of findings.
The report, entitled Making Sense of Uncertainty, was launched on 27 June 2013 at the World Conference of Science Journalists. The researchers say that if policy makers and the public are discouraged by the existence of uncertainty, we miss out on important discussions about the development of new drugs, taking action to mitigate the impact of natural hazards, how to respond to the changing climate and to pandemic threats. Dr David Stainforth said: 'Uncertainty is simply part of our understanding. Sometimes the details matters, sometimes they don’t, but uncertainty is not a barrier to taking good decisions. Nor is it unfamiliar. We all take decisions under uncertainty every day.' Press release Full report.
Interview with David Stainforth in The Reasoner (February 2013, vol. 7, no.2), where he talks about the interdisciplinary nature of climate science, his interpretation of the concept of 'climate', and the issue of communicating climate science to the general public.
'Can a Candid Climate Modeler Convince Contrarians?' Dr David Stainforth quoted in an article in Scientific American, 19 July 2011. Article also appeared as 'Intrepid British climate modeler sets out to win over doubters' in Climate Wire, 19 July 2011.
'A Chance to meet real live scientists' Dr David Stainforth quoted in an article about the Royal Society Summer Exhibition, The Guardian, 6 July 2011.
An interview with David Stainforth as part of 'Meet the Scientists', Royal Society Summer Exhibition website, July 2011.
'What we do not know in terms of adaptation' An article on the recent paper 'Adaptation to Global Warming: Do Climate Models Tell Us What We Need to Know' by Naomi Oreskes, David Stainforth and Leonard Smith in RealClimate, 7 March 2011.
'Few fishy facts found in climate report' Professor Leonard Smith quoted in news piece on Dutch IPCC report, Nature, Vol. 466-Number 7303, 8 July 2010.
'Climate science in the spotlight may not be such a bad thing'. Article by Dr David Stainforth in Guardian.co.uk, 12 February 2010.
'The real holes in climate science' Professor Leonard Smith quoted in news feature in Nature News/Nature 463, 284-287, January 2010.
'Climate Warnings' error margins' Professor Leonard Smith quoted in analysis by Pallab Ghosh, BBC News, 18 June 2009.
'Making Room for Uncertainty' Professor Leonard Smith is interviewed by Fred Pearce in the New Scientist, Issue 2685, 3 December 2008.
'Scientist warns against overselling climate change' Article by Louise Gray, The Telegraph, 3 December 2008 in which Professor Leonard Smith warns about over-interpreting climate change models.
Munich Re collaborates with London School of Economics Munich RE press release, 6 October 2008.
Leonard Smith was part of an e-Roundtable on 'The Uncertainty in Climate Modelling' organised by the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. He contributed articles entitled 'In planning for the future, make room for changing forecasts' (14 January 2008), and 'Climate Modelling is still an abstraction of reality' (10 March 2008).
Hillerbrand and Taylor blog on On Lenny Smith's "Model Error, Real World Risk" talk, January 2008.
'Unproven Theories Have Value', The Times, letters to the Editor by Professor Leonard Smith, 30 November 2007.
'Too Late to Escape Climate Disaster?' Article by Fred Pearce, New Scientist, 18 August 2007, in which Professor Leonard Smith warns of the dangers of over-interpreting climate models.
'Ice cap meltdown to cause 22ft floods' Article in The Telegraph, 16 August 2007, in which Professor Leonard Smith warns about the 'naive realism'.
'Earthlog' Article by Fred Pearce, The Telegraph, 16 August 2007, in which Professor Leonard Smith talks about statistical models.
Oceans 13: small sea changes, big decisions (PDF)
Professor Leonard Smith, Director of CATS, explains about the LSE/IOC Business Programme for Observing Systems, its work and ambitions, in LSE Magazine, Winter 2006.
LSE experts at major climate conference (from LSE Briefing, 10/08/06)
Professor Leonard Smith, director of LSE's Centre for the Analysis of Time Series (CATS) and two CATS visiting research fellows, Professor Nigel Harvey and Dr David Stainforth, contributed to the World Meteorological Organisation conference, Living with Climate Variability and Change, held this July in Espoo, Finland. The conference noted the value in moving toward addressing demand driven aspects of climate change research, including more input from policy makers in industry, NGOs, aid agencies and other non climate scientists' research, and communicating both current insights and the limits of our current scientific insights in a way that informs decision makers to the greatest extent possible. The final report from the conference can be found here.
BBC Links to Huge Climate Project. Meltdown (part of the Climate Chaos Season) broadcast on BBC Four, 20 February 2006.
'Mathematics offers business a formula for success' Professor Leonard Smith quoted in news piece on Financial Times, 13 February 2006.
BBC Weather Features: 'Probabilistic Forecasts - Do you want to be happy?'. Mark Roulston, Visiting Research Fellow to CATS, LSE, says 'Every time you make a decision in the face of uncertainty you're effectively gambling. Probabilistic forecasts let you know whether the odds are favourable'.
'What are you doing to save the environment?' Dr David Stainforth quoted in the Metro, January 2005.
'LSE statistician explores the unknowns of climate modelling'. Climateprediction.net and a new paper in Nature. January 2005.
Material World, BBC Radio 4: 'Predicting the Unpredictable', aired April 11, 2002
'Science turns to philosophy in search for truth' article by Robert Matthews, The Telegraph, 7 July 2004, in which Professor Leonard Smith comments on Donald Rumsfeld's 'unknown unknowns.'
Weather roulette (PDF)
What's the connection between the weather, epilepsy and CATS?
Professor Leonard Smith explains how statistics has the answer,
in LSE Magazine, Summer 2003.
Leonard Smith awarded the 2002 Selby Fellowship by the Australian Academy of Science, details are available on their web site http://www.science.org.au. Professor Leonard Smith writes 'sorta a lecture "world tour of Australia".'
News In Science report, 13 August 2002. Professor Leonard Smith talks about the Climateprediction.net project.
Selby Public Lectures 2002
New Scientist, 4 August 2001. 'Don't blame the butterfly'.