22-23 May 2012
This workshop brought together experts from various disciplines covering different aspects of uncertainty quantification. It focused mainly on the following three topics: the characterisation of uncertainty, the design of experiments and decision-making under uncertainty. You can see a review of the workshop here.
Programme: Programme for the 'Uncertainty Quantification, Risk and Decision' workshop
Session 1: Characterising uncertainty (Chair Leonard Smith)
Nick Watkins (British Antarctic Survey): 'Five ways to misestimate risk'
Jochen Bröcker (Max-Planck-Institute) How to interpret probabilistic forecasts (in particular for weather and climate)
Jim Baker (William J. Clinton Foundation): 'Uncertainty and REDD: Characterising Forest Carbon'
Session 2: Experimental design & robustness (Chairs: Pauline Barrieu & Henry Wynn)
Henry Wynn (LSE): ‘Robustness and experimental design’
Ron Bates (Rolls Royce): ‘Uncertainty Management in a complex engineering environment’
Jordan Ko (DAE programme, Newton Institute): 'UQ in computer experiments with polynomial chaos'
Session 3: Decision-Making under Uncertainty (Chair: Roman Frigg)
Bernard Sinclair-Desgagné (HEC Montréal) 'Economic policy when models disagree'
Massimo Marinacci (Bocconi University) 'Robust mean-variance analysis'